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비트코인 Supply Delta
raonbit

2021.11.14 01:02:24

비트코인 Supply Delta 는 단기보유자와 장기보유자의 차를 보여줌

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raonbit

2021.11.14 01:03:04

Supply Delta is a metric that attempts to provide a more responsive and distinct signal for catching Bitcoin market cycle tops. It is calculated as STH/sma(STH,720) - LTH/sma(LTH,720), where STH and LTH are Short-Term Holder Supply, and Long-Term Holder Supply, respectively.

The underlying theory for this metric is that in late stage bull markets, LTHs are generally reaching peak distribution as expensive coins are transferred from experienced investors, to new euphoric buyers. As the balance tips such that the market is saturated with newer hands, the Supply Delta metric will invert from the uptrend and start to decline, often before the raw supply metrics reverse in their respective trends.

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